Global Economic Restructuring, Urban Social Change and the State: Perspectives on Dublin, Ireland

Introduction

As with many European regions and cities, Dublin (Ireland) has undergone far-reaching and often conflictual cycles of development and change, decay and renewal, such that its social and physical landscape has been radically reconfigured through the post-war era. It presents an interesting case study of the local tensions and implications consequent upon such processes, particularly given the intensity of recent transformations and the diversity of development policies and institutional experiments that have been implemented in response at national, city and local level.

The aim of this paper is to offer an account of these diverse trends and a brief evaluation of how urban governance has been realigned in an effort to deal with some of the challenges. In the main, the paper focuses on specific patterns of economic and social change in Dublin, highlighting some of the particular problems of decay and growth in the inner city, in order to unpack some of the complex and variable outcomes of the general processes at work. The paper then provides an account of public responses to the particular problems of regeneration, including a number of innovations over recent years in urban development policies and governance approaches. There have been many interesting departures and experiments, as well as continuing conflicts and tensions, and these offer useful insights and lessons about uneven global processes, urban change and governance in the contemporary city.

Context [1]: Global Restructuring of Capital and the Challenges for Urban Governance

The emergence of the new economic realities of global capitalism is a key factor in understanding recent patterns of (uneven) urban development, decline and regeneration. In the post-war era, general transformative forces emerged on an international scale producing changes that worked through every dimension of space and society. Key dimensions of this period of restructuring included the globalisation of commodity chains (Scott and Storper 1986; Gereffi 1994), the increasing concentration and centralisation of social power in transnational corporations and world cities (Friedmann 1986; Sassen 1991, 1994; Clark 1996), the reorganisation of the spatial structure of production and the readjustment of regional and urban economies to international conditions (Massey 1995). These structural movements have had profound implications for the work and living conditions of people and communities across the world, generating radical changes in investment and employment patterns and new and intensified forms of competition between states, regions, cities and localities.  It must also be remembered that, although these general processes have worked their way through all societies, the outcomes and meanings have been profoundly uneven across different social classes and geographic spaces. 

At the urban scale, municipal authorities have had to deal with two main consequences of the new global economic order in particular (Morin and Hanley 2004). First, cities now face a strong imperative to compete within an international market for investments in order to counter deindustrialisation and achieve regeneration. Second, cities have to find ways of responding to the problems of increasing inequality, poverty and social polarisation linked to these global shifts. In many cities, there has been a retreat to local or bottom-up strategies to counter such problems both on the part of urban social movements and the local state (Goetz and Clarke 1993; Moulaert et al. 2003; Morin and Hanley 2004). At the same time, new policies are often underpinned by a neoliberal ideological (re-)orientation and a prioritisation of economic rather than social concerns (Peck 2001). At the city level, this is, perhaps, most starkly evident in the way that local and central states adopt entrepreneurial roles, diverting resources to “sell” (and prepare) locations as “prime” sites for investment (McGuirk 1994; Harding et al. 1994). Thus, planning and housing policies become increasingly dominated by market and pro-growth ideologies, driven by the aim of achieving a strong identity and competitive advantage on the global stage. Typical strategies have included place promotion, flagship projects, image boosterism, and urban regeneration, as well as a general emphasis on market-driven approaches, “business-friendly policies” and a pro-growth ethos (Bartley and Treadwell Shine 2003). Furthermore, there have been shifts in the institutions, networks and practices of governance as reflected in the increasing popularity of public-private partnerships, QUANGOS, growth coalitions and, generally, the privatisation of local politics (Hula 1993; Peck 1995).

The broad problematic with regard to urban change and regeneration, therefore, relates to the patterns of development, growth and decline emerging under conditions of globalisation, the resultant social conflicts and pressures and the challenges that all of these processes pose for urban authorities and systems of governance.

Context [2]: Changing Nature of the Irish Development Model

The broad economic develompent model pursued by the Irish state has evolved over a number of decades, while external influences have also been critical, as the nature of the country’s integration within a broader global political economy has changed substantially with differential socio-spatial implications. For most of the first few decades of its existence, the Irish state (founded in 1922) favoured economic policies based on protectionism, import-substitution and indigenoues industrialisation (for detailed commentary, see Lee 1989; Breen et al. 1990; Drudy 1991, 1995, 1998). By contrast, the period from the late 1950s onward was marked by a shift to "outward-looking”, export-oriented, and supply-side policies (e.g. grants and infrastructural investment, no restrictions on profit repatriation, low tax on capital), an increasing reliance on foreign investment and a reduction in the traditional dominance of agriculture. There followed a period of rapid economic expansion in the 1960s (GNP increased by almost 50% over the decade), although there were also concerns that this boom was built on a vulnerable model of dependent development based on foreign capital (O’Hearn 1992). Under the influence of inflows of multi-national investment, the country took on a new function in the international division of labour (Frobel et al. 1980) as a site for manufacturing satellites performing basic assembly, test, packaging and simple machining functions (NESC 1982; Perrons 1986; Drudy 1991), and these branch plants typically developed weak local linkages and generated a high proportion of relatively low-paid female employment (Breathnach 2000). This initial boom lasted into the 1970s, but the uneven spatial and temporal development of the Irish economy entered into a new phase with the deep recession of the 1980s and the return of the spectre of mass unemployment and out-migration, affecting all regions.

The more recent economic boom of the late 1990s has been widely remarked upon, as the country experienced average annual GDP growth of almost 8 per cent, though recording notably lower GNP growth due to capital repatriation by foreign MNCs (Kirby 2002). Since 2001, growth rates have slowed, though remaining strong. GDP growth was 6 per cent in 2002, for instance, although again GNP growth was only 2 per cent, a significant gap that is largely attributable to the performance of the pharmaceutical and biomedical sectors, where margins are exceptionally high and accrue largely to foreign MNCs (OECD 2003).

Although the underlying factors for this period of economic expansion are complex, commentators typically identify factors such as the low-tax regime, geographic location, government incentives, access to external aid in the shape of EU structural funds, which amounted to 3 per cent of GDP in the early 1990s (Fitzgerald 1998), as well as a national social partnership model of negotiating wage agreements (thus engendering some typical aspects of both American and European modes of regulation). However, as the divergence between GDP and GNP suggests, transnational capital has been a central force, Ireland reinforcing its position as a key site for particular roles in a number of global commodity chains, notably computer parts, pharmaceutics, biomedics and some back-office functions.

There have been notable and important contradictory outcomes, however. Underpinned by neoliberal macroeconomic and urban policies and driven by overseas investment, the Irish boom has involved a process of deepening uneven development characterised by dependent industrialisation and social polarisation (O’Hearn 2001; Saris et al 2002; Kirby 2002). At a national level, inequality increased considerably between 1994 and 1997, and Ireland remains one of the most unequal countries in Europe (O’Reardon 2001). This has been reflected in increased relative poverty and deepening experiences of deprivation (Callan and Nolan 1999).  Thus the contradiction between the opportunities and benefits accruing to the privileged and middle classes and those accruing to working-class and marginalised people remains a key issue and a central feature of Irish society, which has perhaps been reinforced, if anything, by the economic boom.

1. Global restructuring, development policies and urban change: trends in Dublin

Broadly, Dublin has played a composite role over many centuries as the primate city of a peripheral region of a colonial economy, which functioned as an administrative, legal and financial centre, a port and commercial site, and a location for some important manufacturing functions, notably textiles, brewing, distilling, glass works, metal working, chemical plants, printing and ship building (Daly 1985). The uneven development of this economic base over recent decades has been influenced by the changing development model pursued by the Irish state, as outlined above. Initially, the urban economy was strengthened by the early policies of protectionism and import-substitution industrial strategies, as the bulk of industrialisation over this period (1930-50) concentrated in the Dublin region (Breathnach 1999). However, its dominant economic role was compromised somewhat by the post-war shift to export-oriented industrialisation via foreign investment. The first wave of post-war multinational capital tended to avoid Dublin (influenced in part by regional policies that favoured the poorer western regions), leading to the creation of a dispersed branch-plant economy and the decline of indigenous industrial sectors (Breathnach 1982). This spelled considerable social disruption for urban working-class populations. The 1980s recession contributed further to deepening economic decay and considerable problems of social deprivation, poverty, out-migration and general disinvestment and physical decay (unemployment in Dublin was as high as 18 per cent by the early 1990s, and between 1981 and 1991, net out-migration amounted to just over 74,400 people).

In more recent years, however, rapid economic growth underpinned the reinforcement of Dublin as the main population and commercial centre, and the city also witnessed a rapid expansion in urban tourism, becoming one of Europe’s fastest growing destinations (see Gillmor 2001, for details). Foreign investment over recent years has increasingly concentrated in Dublin, resulting in expanding employment in a number of new manufacturing and service industries. The organisational strategies of (predominantly) US TNCs were important factors, as the city took on a number of niche roles in some global commodity chains (Breathnach 2000; 2002). In particular, Dublin has become an emergent global site for back-office functions (particularly financial services), electronics and computer software manufacturing, and personal and professional services. At the same time, much of its older manufacturing base continued to fare badly, as traditional, indigenous industries declined. These broad processes and policies at work have been greatly to the detriment of the Dublin working class, for whom patterns of urban decline and growth over recent decades have created many problems and challenges. The industrial employment opportunities available to them and their families were concentrated in the old indigenous Irish industries, which fared poorly in the post-1958 era relative to new industries attracted through the State's development policies. So the traditional urban working class was effectively marginalised in the course of economic development, without opportunities for manual work and unable to compete for the skilled-manual or white-collar positions being created on their doorstep (Breen et al. 1990, 73).

Key economic and social trends

Overall between 1961 and 1996, industrial employment declined by almost 55 per cent (Table 1) in Dublin City (inner city and inner suburbs). Expansion in the service sectors was also slow (decline in the mid 1980s ensured that total employment in services in 1991 was little different to 1961). Although there has been rapid growth in service employment in the 1990s, such jobs are not readily accessible to those traditionally employed in the industrial sectors. Importantly, the expansion in service employment between 1961 and 1996 was entirely accounted for by the professional and personal services sectors. This reflects in part the city’s emerging role as a site of back offices for multinational industry, but also a common tendency in the restructuring of the urban economy towards a polarised occupational structure. The typical process is that job loss is concentrated in manufacturing, while growth tends to be in either the high-grade professional services (for example, legal services, engineering, architecture, consultancy, research, education, etc.) or the often low-paid and vulnerable (part-time, temporary) personal services (for example, hotels, restaurants and cafés, cleaning, private domestic service). Against this, there has been a steady expansion in both industrial and service employment in Dublin County (the outer suburbs and periphery) (Table 2).

The city has also seen considerable changes in its social geography. For many decades, the inner city experienced considerable disinvestment, as private capital favoured suburban residential expansion, while the local authority adopted a profoundly anti-city planning approach, envisaging no residential function for the central area and adopting a divisive public housing policy of detenant, decentralise and demolish. This pattern of urban disinvestment was reflected in the broad suburbanisation of the population (Table 3), as well as the fact that between 1961 and 1991, the inner-city population halved, falling to under 77,000 people (see Table 4).

This was particularly stark given that the inner city population in the mid 1930s was 267,000 (Horner 1999). Although the population increased since 1991, influenced strongly by new urban policies (outlined below), this only involved a recovery to mid-1980s levels, and the overall proportionate decrease since 1961 is substantial (Figure 1).

Local Effects: Inner City Crisis, Inner City Boom

Clearly, the city’s economic base has undergone a considerable process of restructuring and transformation since the 1960s, as global influences and national development policies began to influence the fortunes of various sectors and localities. Although Dublin arguably never developed fully into an industrial urban complex in the manner of other British and European city-regions, its central (or inner) city area includes a number of distinct locales which possessed a dense and heterogeneous industrial fabric, wherein a close bond traditionally existed between the economy and the local working class community. For instance, in the docklands, local employment depended on the port and docks, boat-building, coal yards, flour milling, bottle-making, sugar refining and chemical fertiliser manufacture, as well as a number of public and (laterally) semi-state facilities, including transport activities, the power station and gas works (DDDA 1997). Elsewhere, textiles, shoemaking, brewing, distilling, ironworks and other sectors have been further important sources of jobs. Therefore, in terms of the broader economic structure, for many decades the most important resource of inner-city locales was the existence of a large pool of relatively cheap semi-skilled or unskilled labour. The importance of local development of this nature led to cultural links between community and workplace in everyday life: there was little distinction between the economic space of the city and the life-place of the community within such areas. However, the manufacturing base of the city was substantially deindustrialised since the 1970s, as the data presented above indicates.

The restructuring of the urban economy had particularly marked economic, social and physical implications for inner-city locales, which lost out to disinvestment (capital flight to the periphery and further afield), rationalisation (technological change, job shedding) and closure (Drudy and Punch 2000). It has been estimated, for example, that the inner city alone lost about 2,000 manufacturing jobs annually during the late 1970s (Bannon et al. 1981). In the docklands, technological change led to considerable job loss in port activities, where containerisation decimated a formerly labour intensive sector, while jobs also disappeared in traditional local employers.

Economic restructuring of this kind was a key dimension of the ‘inner city crisis’ from the 1980s onwards. Unemployment escalated rapidly, reaching 33 per cent in the inner city in 1991, although many flats complexes recorded much higher levels (over 80 per cent in many cases). Absolute numbers of unemployed actually increased up to 1996, although there was an apparent reduction in the unemployment rate to 28 per cent (this was entirely attributable to the dilution effect of a more recent influx of new middle-class residents). Although unemployment reduced through the Irish boom years in the late 1990s, a recent profile of social-housing tenants based on administrative data collated by the city council for the purpose of assessing rents confirms the continuing reality of low incomes and marginalisation for many inner-city communities (Housing Unit 2002).

The human implications of this crisis included the reality of low incomes, poverty, joblessness and the loss of any hope of future employment for many people in an area with a tradition of early school leaving in order to take up the low-skilled employment available in the older industrial base. Working-class communities that had previously enjoyed close to full employment and the “certainty” of a job in one of the local industries were faced with a stark new reality. A number of related social problems also took hold. The relatively rapid rise of unemployment, the impoverishment of whole areas, the emerging phenomenon of inter-generational unemployment and the general air of depression and alienation created the perfect demand conditions for hard drugs, and tragically in the early 1980s, a heroin crisis erupted with sudden ferocity. It has persisted to the present day, and many localities have been faced with the attendant conflicts, tensions and loss of life (Punch, forthcoming). 

More recent rounds of restructuring and economic growth have seen the form and function of the city within the international economy shift once more, as new and complex patterns of investment in some areas finally reversed a long trajectory of disinvestment. Among the more striking effects in the inner city include a property boom, the reinforcement of the commercial function, tourism growth (Gillmor 2001), the internationalisation of the retail sector (Parker 1999) and the rapid growth of the financial services sector and other professional services. The important point to note, however, is that those displaced from employment by the restructuring of industry cannot easily transfer into whatever employment opportunities emerge in other sectors, particularly when the new employment is qualitatively worlds apart from the old. In this way the central contradiction of the restructured city begins to take shape: the juxtaposition of deprived inner-city communities and the high-tech frontier of the global economy, much of it of marginal relevance to the older working-class communities.  Though spatially juxtaposed, the social distance between the two worlds, the devalued places inhabited by the indigenous working-class communities and the revalorised spaces of the restructured urban economy, is considerable. They co-exist, but do so in uneasy and sometimes conflictual relationship.

Policy departures and the new urban governance

The economic and social changes traced in the foregoing have generated considerable pressures and conflicts, raising new challenges for urban policy and planning, as well as practical and normative concerns about the future of the city. These include many critical questions beyond the scope of this paper, such as quality of life issues, environmental standards and conservation, congestion in the city, sprawl on the edge and the haphazard extension of the commuter zone into distant rural towns and villages (see Ellis and Kim 2001; Williams et al. 2003). A considerable housing problem has also emerged in Dublin (and across the country), as the social housing sector was underdeveloped for much of the 1990s, and rents and private house prices accelerated (between 1994 and March 2003, the average new house price in Dublin increased by 262 per cent to 295,158 Euro, while the average second-hand house price increased by 324 per cent to 350,603 Euro). This has created a considerable boom for speculative developers, but problems of access and affordability for middle- and low-income groups (Drudy and Punch 2002; 2004). There are also the added concerns about inequality and social deprivation highlighted above and the challenge of achieving an inclusive form of urban regeneration and development into the future.

It would be impossible to deal with all of these in detail here. Instead, this final section will outline some recent departures in urban governance in response to the challenges of urban and social dereliction and regeneration. This is of wider interest, as experiences in Dublin reproduce important aspects of the general tendencies in governance highlighted in the theoretical context above, notably competitive strategies to attract globally mobile capital and area-based socio-economic regeneration policies to “sell the city” and respond to localised problems of decay.

2. The realignment of urban governance in Dublin

The first serious urban policies of note were devised and put in place from the mid-1980s onwards. However, rather than responding directly to the structural problems of economic change or the local social problems with poverty, drugs, a decayed living environment and inadequate housing access, these new policies focused instead on market-driven approaches and tax incentives to encourage private property redevelopment, in the main, high-grade residential and commercial office space. The adopted approach, initiated by the central state, involved schemes for urban renewal in a number of small areas designated at various points between 1986 and 1997, offering a range of fiscal incentives to entice property capital back into decayed areas (for details of the incentives, see MacLaran 1993; 1999; MacLaran and Williams 2003; KPMG 1996). In some cases, special renewal authorities were set up, notably the Customs House Docks Development Authority, which was charged with promoting the redevelopment of a Port and Docks site as a facility for global finance capital (the International financial Services Centre).

The physical and economic effects were dramatic – total estimated investment in the various areas between 1986 and 1997 amounted to IR£1.1 billion (Drudy and Punch, 2000). The sociospatial effects were also substantial, introducing a new middle-class population (MacLaran et al. 1995), predominantly housed in segregated, gated developments. However, the predominant focus of urban renewal policies on property-led regeneration received considerable criticism, including problems with deadweight, displacement, transfers, community effects, land-price escalation, transport implications, physical design, as well as the structural limits to area-based approaches to regeneration (see, for example, KPMG 1996; MacLaran and Murphy 1997; MacLaran 1999; Drudy and Punch 2000). The broader concern is that the new urban policies have simply underpinned the gentrification of the inner city, raising serious concerns about social integration, cohesion and the displacement of poorer residents and older communities (MacLaran and Murphy 1997; Kelly and MacLaran 2004). Though the new and older residential locales are spatially juxtaposed, they are socially and economically ‘worlds apart’, with gated private apartment complexes reinforcing social class divisions and segregation within the inner city (Punch et al. 2004). Criticism and opposition was most trenchant at grassroots level, however, where the major effect was the promotion of invasive and intrusive commercial and high-grade residential developments and the threat of displacement (such as in the case of Sheriff Street, a public-housing area that has been largely redeveloped as part of the Customs House Docks scheme, which included premises for international financial capital and high-grade residential investors).

Partly in response to such criticisms, a further re-orientation in the approach to urban governance came with the initiation in 1997 of the Dublin Docklands Development Authority and in 1999 of five “Integrated Area Plans” (IAPS) across the city. These new approaches – incorporating a range of social, environmental and community concerns as well as the existing emphasis on tax incentives for private property development – also suggested a willingness to respond to local criticisms that earlier policies were exclusionary, unsympathetic, undemocratic and failed to take account of community needs. These more recent initiatives included channels for participation, generally by inviting local activists and leaders to act as community representatives on some kind of partnership structure (for example, a “Community Liaison Committee” was established in the docks, while a “Monitoring Committee” was set up to include local representation in the Liberties Coombe Integrated Area Plan in the south-west inner city). Most importantly, the concept of community gain was introduced as a central element in the plans.

Thus, the hope was that the obvious problems with regard to earlier renewal efforts (achieving considerable economic growth and property development, but at the cost of a considerable democratic deficit and deepening social polarisation) would be ameliorated through the emphasis on community participation and social gain (Bartley and Threadwell Shine 2003). Early assessments would urge caution, however, as problems and conflicts have already erupted. In the Liberties-Coombe IAP, for instance, there has already been considerable unrest about the minimal levels of community gain forthcoming, the granting of planning permission to developments that contravene urban design guidelines for the area and the lack of power vested in the monitoring committee, or even clarity about its role or level of authority, such that the participation to date has proven shallow or even a diversion of local energies, commitment and critical input. Indeed, recent (and continuing) research indicates that “regeneration” in the Liberties IAP thus far, driven by the promotion of private capital as the sole motivator for change, has proven insensitive to a pro-community agenda. Gentrification and social segregation have been facilitated and encouraged through past urban renewal schemes and are now being legitimised via quasi-participatory micro-area planning mechanisms under the guise of ‘encouraging a variety of housing tenures’. Where before, in terms of the structural requirements of capital, the most important local resource was a pool of low-skilled labour, now the prime resource of the Liberties area is the land itself.  (See Punch et al. 2003, 2004, and Kelly and MacLaran 2004 for comment).

Conclusions

Overall, this paper has offered a theoretical and empirical exploration of recent patterns of economic and social change, highlighting the global context, the unevenness of the main processes at work and some of the consequent problems and conflicts that have emerged at local level, as well as the changing nature of national, urban and local development approaches and systems of governance. The evolution of the Irish development model and the specific case of Dublin provide useful examples of the reality, complexity and challenges liked to these interconnected issues.

Driven by a confluence of global forces and state development policies, a long process of decay and growth, boom and slump can be demonstrated, and these have generated considerable problems for some social groups and localities in particular, as well as general challenges with regard to planning and concerns for the future direction of city governance and urban change. What is interesting in more recent years is the manner in which the policies, priorities and practices of urban planning and governance in Dublin have adopted a particular emphasis and ideology, broadly that of neoliberalism. This is evident in a whole raft of strategies, generally focused on economic priorities and competing for investment, substantially restructuring the social and physical landscape in the city in the process. In short, the new urban governance has tended to emphasise the interests of private capital in the built environment over and above direct state action, regulation or social concerns. Such policies have perhaps contributed to economic growth and a property boom over recent years, but have been less well attuned to community regeneration or social need. Yet, the organic emergence of community structures, local culture and identity within the locale – however such a problematic geographic unit is to be delimited – is also complex and important to people’s well-being and social integration in a broader sense. Experiences in Dublin suggest different approaches may be needed if these concerns are to be dealt with in a holistic and meaningful manner. It is intended to explore all of these issues through an expanded inner-city research programme (theoretical, analytical) in order to provide a sounder basis for proposals for a genuinely inclusive, cohesive and empowering city housing and regeneration strategy in this era of global economic change, deepening inequality and shifting tendencies and practices of urban governance.

Dr. Michael Punch is currently the Broad Curriculum Lecturer in Globalisation at the Departments of Geography and Sociology in Trinity College Dublin. He is also a Research Fellow of the Centre for Urban and Regional Studies. His main areas of research interest include economic geography; local development and economic renewal; urban governance, planning and community change; housing policies and inequality. http://www.tcd.ie/Geography/MP_01.html or http://www.tcd.ie/CURS/

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Dies ist ein Dokument der Seite www.schrumpfende-stadt.de
Erstelldatum: 08. November 2004
Autor: Michael Punch